The Run In - stacked against us.

McG_BFC

McG_BFC

Well-known member
So we're left with 3 from 5 for the remaining Play Off Places - make of this what you will but the fact Charlton still have to play Lincoln means there's a game cancelled out - I'd say we desperately need something against Sunderland as Northampton have to win our game to have any chance of staying up!

Accrington StanleyPortsmouth
CharltonCrewe
ShrewsburyLincoln City
SunderlandBlackpool
Accrington StanleyCharlton
AFC WimbledonPortsmouth
NorthamptonBlackpool
PeterboroughLincoln City
ShrewsburyOxford Utd
BlackpoolDoncaster
CharltonLincoln City
BlackpoolBristol Rovers
CharltonHull
Lincoln CityAFC Wimbledon
Oxford UtdBurton Albion
PortsmouthAccrington Stanley
 
There will be twists yet. Accrington will have a say in the final outcome. They've got too much to do themselves, but they are at home to Portsmouth and Charlton this week. Charlton's whole run in is difficult. From some where we need to pull out a result on Tuesday, if we did that, then another three points from either of the following two games and I think 74 points might just get us in on GD, and we can go into the Bristol Rovers game knowing anything from that game secures it. After that, and after Tuesdays and todays performances I'm not sure we would win the Play Offs, but I'm happy to be wrong.
 
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Oxford have two very winnable games against Shrewsbury (A) who are now safe and Burton (H). They win both and finish on 74.

Pompey also have 3 very winnable games:
Accrington (A), Wimbledon (A) and Accrington (H). Maximum they can finish on is 77. I don’t see any reason they can’t win all 3.

Charlton have tougher games on paper. Starts with an easy game Crewe (H) then Accrington (A) followed by Lincoln (H) & Hull (H). Maximum they can get is 78.

We need more than 75. It won’t be enough. I can see Pompey and Charlton both getting 76 points. So we need 3 wins from our last 4. Not happening
 
Athers said:
Oxford have two very winnable games against Shrewsbury (A) who are now safe and Burton (H). They win both and finish on 74.

Pompey also have 3 very winnable games:
Accrington (A), Wimbledon (A) and Accrington (H). Maximum they can finish on is 77. I don’t see any reason they can’t win all 3.

Charlton have tougher games on paper. Starts with an easy game Crewe (H) then Accrington (A) followed by Lincoln (H) & Hull (H). Maximum they can get is 78.

We need more than 75. It won’t be enough. I can see Pompey and Charlton both getting 76 points. So we need 3 wins from our last 4. Not happening
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Testicles.
 
Athers said:
Oxford have two very winnable games against Shrewsbury (A) who are now safe and Burton (H). They win both and finish on 74.

Pompey also have 3 very winnable games:
Accrington (A), Wimbledon (A) and Accrington (H). Maximum they can finish on is 77. I don’t see any reason they can’t win all 3.

Charlton have tougher games on paper. Starts with an easy game Crewe (H) then Accrington (A) followed by Lincoln (H) & Hull (H). Maximum they can get is 78.

We need more than 75. It won’t be enough. I can see Pompey and Charlton both getting 76 points. So we need 3 wins from our last 4. Not happening
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Might as well give it up then. I hope the players actually read this doom laden forum and use it as motivation to stick it up to some truly miserable people.
 
Things can change on one result and there are no "easy" games at this stage of the season either at the top or bottom of the table. Easy with hindsight but I do think we should have used the squad more in the last two games. Husband, Ekpiteka and Robson could have been brought in and Simms rested to provide an option from the bench. Experience counts for a lot so I hope Anderson, Stewart and Madine can play some role in the next four games.
 
there are prob similar threads on Pompey, Charlton and Oxford boards, saying how easy Blackpool's run is and they'll prob get 10 points against 2 teams right down at the bottom of the table, one of who is already relegated, and another against a team who haven't won for six games and just conceded 3 at home vs Accy, and another against a team bottom of current form table.
 
Start playing our best available players in their correct positions in the right formation and I don't care who we play, we will get enough points.
If he persists with this disfunctional 4 4 2 then I have no doubt we will finish outside the top 6.
 
I've done my predictions and I got Porsmouth in 7th place on 73 points so we need to beat that. Just to add I never do very well on Footie 5 or Super 6.
 
Athers said:
Oxford have two very winnable games against Shrewsbury (A) who are now safe and Burton (H). They win both and finish on 74.

Pompey also have 3 very winnable games:
Accrington (A), Wimbledon (A) and Accrington (H). Maximum they can finish on is 77. I don’t see any reason they can’t win all 3.

Charlton have tougher games on paper. Starts with an easy game Crewe (H) then Accrington (A) followed by Lincoln (H) & Hull (H). Maximum they can get is 78.

We need more than 75. It won’t be enough. I can see Pompey and Charlton both getting 76 points. So we need 3 wins from our last 4. Not happening
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Going off the way you predicted Blackpool's last 18 games, after reading how you think Pompy and Charlton will do I'm now optimistically confident Blackpool will waltz into the playoffs.

We had winnable games against Accrington, Burton, Fleetwood, Plymouth, all at home, shall I go on?😁
 
gjr69 said:
Start playing our best available players in their correct positions in the right formation and I don't care who we play, we will get enough points.
If he persists with this disfunctional 4 4 2 then I have no doubt we will finish outside the top 6.
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It's funny how things turn around and it is of course down to who is fit and available.
Early season when we losing and playing 4-3-3 Critch was forced by the messageboard to play 4-4-2 and Niggles Madine stepped up to the plate and recognised that playing was part of his job description.
Gary picked up his injury and 4-4-2 has gone out of the window.
Looking at the performances over the long forgotten 16 game unbeaten run I mentioned the "backs to the wall" performance against MKD and the Posh game but we shouldn't forget Gillingham when we won 4-1.
The Dons (1-0) Stewart and Virtue but the other 4 were Ward Embleton Kaikai Yates (4-2-3-1)
P'boro (3-1) Dougall Ward combo for the 1st time with Mitchell Embleton Kaikai Yates (4-2-3-1)
Swindon (2-0) Dougall Ward with Embleton Kaikai Simms Yates (4-4-2)
Gillingham (4-1) Dougall Ward with Embleton Kaikai Simms Yates (4-4-2)
Simms has statred every game since Swindon so I'll say we've played 4-4-2 ever since which is 3 wins 2 draws and 2 defeats.
In the 16 match unbeaten run Simms started 12 times. The 4 he didn't start in (MKD, Oxford, Posh & Plymouth) we won 3 and lost 1. In the other 12 we won 6 and drew 6.
Of course he has started in the last 2 defeats.
Can I just say I'm not picking on Simms with these fscts I'm looking at the formation.
Make of that what you will but basically I thnk too many players, and Jerry in particular, are running on empty.
 
There will be twists and turns to come no doubt, who saw Accrington getting a draw at Sunderland yesterday?
The main thing should be that it is still in our hands, surely that's a good thing 😬
 
Insider said:
It's funny how things turn around and it is of course down to who is fit and available.
Early season when we losing and playing 4-3-3 Critch was forced by the messageboard to play 4-4-2 and Niggles Madine stepped up to the plate and recognised that playing was part of his job description.
Gary picked up his injury and 4-4-2 has gone out of the window.
Looking at the performances over the long forgotten 16 game unbeaten run I mentioned the "backs to the wall" performance against MKD and the Posh game but we shouldn't forget Gillingham when we won 4-1.
The Dons (1-0) Stewart and Virtue but the other 4 were Ward Embleton Kaikai Yates (4-2-3-1)
P'boro (3-1) Dougall Ward combo for the 1st time with Mitchell Embleton Kaikai Yates (4-2-3-1)
Swindon (2-0) Dougall Ward with Embleton Kaikai Simms Yates (4-4-2)
Gillingham (4-1) Dougall Ward with Embleton Kaikai Simms Yates (4-4-2)
Simms has statred every game since Swindon so I'll say we've played 4-4-2 ever since which is 3 wins 2 draws and 2 defeats.
In the 16 match unbeaten run Simms started 12 times. The 4 he didn't start in (MKD, Oxford, Posh & Plymouth) we won 3 and lost 1. In the other 12 we won 6 and drew 6.
Of course he has started in the last 2 defeats.
Can I just say I'm not picking on Simms with these fscts I'm looking at the formation.
Make of that what you will but basically I thnk too many players, and Jerry in particular, are running on empty.
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Playing with Simms or Yates as an out and out striker allows us to rest and rotate them or bring a genuine game changer off the bench if needed.
I think most of us can see that what we are doing isn't really working, it hasn't really worked in all the wins either but that's how it is sometimes.
Critchley has got some thinking to do, if he does the same again then it will be no surprise if we get the same performance.
 
Insider said:
It's funny how things turn around and it is of course down to who is fit and available.
Early season when we losing and playing 4-3-3 Critch was forced by the messageboard to play 4-4-2 and Niggles Madine stepped up to the plate and recognised that playing was part of his job description.
Gary picked up his injury and 4-4-2 has gone out of the window.
Looking at the performances over the long forgotten 16 game unbeaten run I mentioned the "backs to the wall" performance against MKD and the Posh game but we shouldn't forget Gillingham when we won 4-1.
The Dons (1-0) Stewart and Virtue but the other 4 were Ward Embleton Kaikai Yates (4-2-3-1)
P'boro (3-1) Dougall Ward combo for the 1st time with Mitchell Embleton Kaikai Yates (4-2-3-1)
Swindon (2-0) Dougall Ward with Embleton Kaikai Simms Yates (4-4-2)
Gillingham (4-1) Dougall Ward with Embleton Kaikai Simms Yates (4-4-2)
Simms has statred every game since Swindon so I'll say we've played 4-4-2 ever since which is 3 wins 2 draws and 2 defeats.
In the 16 match unbeaten run Simms started 12 times. The 4 he didn't start in (MKD, Oxford, Posh & Plymouth) we won 3 and lost 1. In the other 12 we won 6 and drew 6.
Of course he has started in the last 2 defeats.
Can I just say I'm not picking on Simms with these fscts I'm looking at the formation.
Make of that what you will but basically I thnk too many players, and Jerry in particular, are running on empty.
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I agree, Jerry is running on empty. After beating Sunderland, he should have been given a breather against Rochdale. I’d argue that in advance, we could have afforded to accept defeat there, to get the rest in before yesterday.

Rochdale was a chance to play fresh legs, so Marv, Husband, Mitchell, Gabriel, Robson and Holmes. We can’t look to tiredness when that option was available to NC.

The biggest problem for me, in our 4-4-2, is Embleton wide right. It’s like playing with 10 men. I feel we’d have had more success last 2 games starting Mitchell.
 
That game yesterday was a chance to make as many changes as practically possible even if it meant parking the bus for 2 thirds of the game then using subs to try & win it in the last 3rd giving a much needed rest for some of the ever present players. It would have impacted on Tuesdays game too fatigue wise. I’ll never stop believing we can finish in the playoffs, but I fear if we drop out we might not get back in, a little like when we went behind yesterday. I was as disappointed as anybody yesterday, but our season is still alive, which after the first 7 games few would have thought it possible. I’ve given up worrying if we will get reinforcements from our injured players returning & even if some do match fitness will be an issue. I can see this going down to the last match of the season & possibly depending on other results too. We never seem to do things the easy way do we.
 
The thing about all these predictions is this season has been unpredictable. Win our remaining games and we're up #factamundo
 
Anything can still happen, am I concerned we will miss out YES, but if we are all so good at predicting who is going to win what games how come we are all so bad on the AVFTT prediction league 🤔
 
Be lovely if Accy and Shrewsbury denied Pompey and Lincoln of 3 points on Tuesday night - would mean whatever our result, it would just make life a bit easier.
 
I think Critch was thinking if we beat Rochdale and Shrewsbury, we're basically in the play offs and he can rest and rotate.

We'd all have taken 6th with four games to go. We're playing Sunderland who are absolutely beyond average so we can get 3 points from them.

Northampton
Doncaster
Bristol Rovers

We're going to beat all three of those sides. KTF.
 
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