If we keep our current form

B

Bleed Tangerine Blood

Well-known member
After our bad start 7pts from 9 games.
If we for instance beat Plymouth on Saturday that will put us on 52pts from the last 26 games over a period of 5 months And only losin 4 games in this run.
Keep that going to the end of the season,just another 6 weeks-and we could add another 22pts from the last 11 games at our average of 2 per game during the long run
that would give us a total of 81 points.
A bonus may be if we also beat Sunderland twice and stop them gaining points as well then the season could finish nicely in our favour.
By the way I’m a new poster who always reads the message board and have supported The Mighty since 1965.
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Bleed Tangerine Blood said:
After our bad start 7pts from 9 games.
If we for instance beat Plymouth on Saturday that will put us on 52pts from the last 26 games over a period of 5 months And only losin 4 games in this run.
Keep that going to the end of the season,just another 6 weeks-and we could add another 22pts from the last 11 games at our average of 2 per game during the long run
that would give us a total of 81 points.
A bonus may be if we also beat Sunderland twice and stop them gaining points as well then the season could finish nicely in our favour.
By the way I’m a new poster who always reads the message board and have supported The Mighty since 1965.
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Welcome. 👌
 
I've really missed the business end of season hypothetical point tallies. Checking the league table, then your fixtures and counting how many points you'd need for what and all that. I was doing the same today, figuring out how many we'd need for automatic/the play-offs, and how many we'd have to win to achieve it!

25 points out of 36 (12 games) COULD get us promoted automatically with a final tally of 81. Hypothetically then that is something like winning 8 games, drawing 1 and losing 3 out of our final run-in. It is probably too big of an ask, but you never know.

I reckon we only need to win 6 more games and we will secure a play-off spot. 73/74 is the usual point tally but I think it will be a little lower due to the amount of games teams have lost already, so maybe we can afford to not win 6 but it'd be nice to not be shitting it going into the last games - in the form we're in anyway 6 wins in 12 seems do-able.

The play-offs are in our own hands now, automatic would be some bloody achievement. I think if our new system solves our issue of playing WORSE against the lesser teams we'll smash it, as we play lots of teams near the relegation/in the bottom half - it's going to be an exciting and an extremely nervy affair!
 
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TangerinePeel said:
I've really missed the business end of season hypothetical point tallies. Checking the league table, then your fixtures and counting how many points you'd need for what and all that. I was doing the same today, figuring out how many we'd need for automatic/the play-offs, and how many we'd have to win to achieve it!

25 points out of 36 (12 games) COULD get us promoted automatically with a final tally of 81. Hypothetically then that is something like winning 8 games, drawing 1 and losing 3 out of our final run-in. It is probably too big of an ask, but you never know.

I reckon we only need to win 6 more games and we will secure a play-off spot. 73/74 is the usual point tally but I think it will be a little lower due to the amount of games teams have lost already, so maybe we can afford to not win 6 but it'd be nice to not be shitting it going into the last games - in the form we're in anyway 6 wins in 12 seems do-able.

The play-offs are in our own hands now, automatic would be some bloody achievement. I think if our new system solves our issue of playing WORSE against the lesser teams we'll smash it, as we play lots of teams near the relegation/in the bottom half - it's going to be an exciting and an extremely nervy affair!
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Anything can/will happen,think back to the away game at Sunderland in the prem,they had 30 plus efforts on goal and we still won 2-0
 
I suppose the importance is that we don't falter on just hit a bad run again. Start of the season and Christmas can only be our two bad runs this season - genuinely don't think we can afford another one. As daft as it sounds - we lose two and Fleetwood win two (who are in 15th place!) and suddenly things look so different!
 
BFC76 said:
I suppose the importance is that we don't falter on just hit a bad run again. Start of the season and Christmas can only be our two bad runs this season - genuinely don't think we can afford another one. As daft as it sounds - we lose two and Fleetwood win two (who are in 15th place!) and suddenly things look so different!
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Stay positive,glass 3/4 full in my case
 
Bleed Tangerine Blood said:
Stay positive,glass 3/4 full in my case
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Also think this (squad)has as good a team spirit as any of the previous play off squads.
This certainly shows through with the number of so called reserves now playing and performing as well if not better than so called first teamers.
So many changes with a combination of tinkering and lots of long injuries.
Long may it continue,for six weeks anyway.
 
TwelveAngryMen said:
81 points doesn't get you automatic but it's a fantastic turnaround
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I was thinking that the points tally could be lower this year due to the amount of games Hull and Peterborough have already lost, and the amount Sunderland have already drawn. You imagine one of those teams will hit the stride and win the league with a points tally of the high eighties.

You're probably right now I'm looking at it, it would take a stars alinging moment where we go on a superb run and results continue to go our way. We would need both Sunderland/Peterborough to be dropping 16 points out of their next 30, which is almost definitely too big of an ask
 
Aw
Maths said:
Still seems hard to believe we got so few points when we actually played OK in the majority of those games.
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But now we are looking like a team with a purpose.
We did play well in some of the early games but gave games away too easily.
Over the last 25 games the defence even with all the changes is looking better all the time.
 
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